| Keywords |
ecological footprint, climate change, ecology,
land productivity, marine land, uninhabited land, consumption,
income, population, technology |
| Abstract |
Context
William Rees, an ecologist at UBC, has developed what he has
termed the "eco-footprint" concept, which continues
to get growing attention in many different areas. It is somewhat
similar to the notion of "embodied energy" of the 1970-80s.
It begins with the idea the all consumption of energy, food and
materials ultimately relies on solar energy that is transformed
on Earth through photosynthesis. Human consumption can ultimately
be related to the land area on Earth that is needed to provide
the photosynthesis or other ecological services needed to support
that consumption. An important, indirect, non-economic measure
of consumption is thus the amount of land area required to support
a given population at a given level of consumption. It basically
uses Vitousek 's perspective of appropriated photosynthesis,
and focuses on land area as the proxy for photosynthesis. We
are using this concept to attempt to model the human consumption
levels for a population in an area of the world in terms of the
appropriated carrying capacity, or eco-footprint, that it consumes,
now and under various scenarios. Eventually we hope to develop
functions that relate the extent of carrying capacity extracted
from an area to potential ecological degradation (e.g., species
extinction, etc.). Hence this is a way to link population and
wealth to consumption patterns, and then attempt to link those
to ecological constraints locally and globally.
Work plan
The ecological footprint model is being developed independently
in Analytica ®, with an ultimate goal of direct links to
ICAM. The variable groups that are being defined include: land
productivity, including marine land and uninhabited land; consumption
as defined by income, population and the nature of products consumed;
technology scenarios; and eventually, global ecological constraints
.
The intent is to develop a framework for calculating the ecological
footprint of North America. We plan to divide North America into
four sub-regions, rural and urban, north and south. The index
will in essence be a non-economic measure of human consumption,
that can then later be related to ecological constraints. We
see this effort as a means to bring consumption levels and ecological
measures more squarely into ICAM.
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