Title Using Total Exposure to Rank Sources of Air Pollution in China
 Collaborators Guodong Sun (CMU), H. Keith Florig (CMU)
 Keywords particulate air pollution, China, total exposure, greenhouse gas emission control, PM10
 Abstract

Improved air quality is an important ancillary benefit of GHG emission reduction. Given the huge health damages from air pollution in China, this benefit can be substantial. The health benefits of GHG emissions reductions from a particular source of air pollution depends not only on pollutant emission reductions, but also on the proximity of populations to the source. Thus, GHG emissions reductions applied to sources in the midst of dense urban centers (e.g. diesel buses, coal-fired residential boilers) may have greater health benefits than GHG reductions applied to more distant, but larger sources, such as power plants.

This project examines this issue by analyzing and ranking the major sources of non-occupational exposure to particulate air pollution (primary PM10) in China. Models of pollutant emissions, pollutant diffusion, population location, and population time-use are developed to estimate total PM10 exposure for five major source types and four population subgroups in both urban and rural settings. Particle sources addressed are environmental tobacco smoking (ETS), cooking stoves, heating stoves, district heating boilers, on-road vehicles, and coal-fired power stations. Population subgroups considered are pre-school children, school children, working adults, and the aged. This study is based on a hypothetical city and a hypothetical village with characteristics typical of China's urban and rural areas. The models are coded in Analytica so that uncertainties and variabilities in model parameters can be easily considered in the results, which are expressed as probability distributions. For urban areas in northern China, the model shows that residential heating is the most important source of non-occupational population exposure to primary PM10 for all population groups. This is followed by ETS, cooking, on-road vehicles, and power stations. Urban exposures from heating, ETS, and cooking are at least one order of magnitude higher than exposures from motor vehicles and power stations, yet power station emissions often receive the most regulatory attention. In rural areas, cooking and heating are the largest sources of primary PM10 exposure with ETS making a significant contribution as well. Except for cooking, there is little source-to-source variation in among age groups. Individual exposure to cooking by pre-school children and aged-people are about 45% and 30% higher than that by school children and working people, respectively.