The Center for the Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of
Global Change is interested in applying multiattribute value
elicitation, and, more broadly, value-focused thinking, as ways
to gain insight into "what people care about" regarding
climate change policy issues. This work plan outlines a modest
research project to be carried out by Ralph Keeney and Tim McDaniels,
which would employ these approaches in a brief "workshop"
comprising a set of meetings to occur in Pittsburgh at a convenient
time in the first four months of 1999. The focus would be on
value issues for climate change policy choices facing governments
in North America over the
next 20 years.
The overall objective is to help obtain insight into the value-related
aspects of climate change decisions facing governments in North
America over the next 20 years. Specifically, the sub-objectives
-insight into the value structure and attributes (measures)
relevant for climate change policy decisions;
-insight into the value tradeoffs associated with climate
change policy decisions;
-insight into opportunities to improve the information base
and available alternatives.
In brief, we would develop a value hierarchy to clarify what
people care about, and then elicit some sets of value tradeoffs
for climate change policy decisions from experts within the center,
to provide an expert characterization of important tradeoffs.
Uses of the Results
We expect that the results will be useful for (i) defining information
requirements for evaluation of policy alternatives, (ii) providing
the basis for creating more attractive alternatives, (iii) providing
a basis for quantitative evaluation of alternatives, and (iv)
providing a basis for future dialogue and refinement of values
and valuation issues.